More from Fed’s Barkin: There is a wide range of outcomes from tariffs

February 05, 2025 at 02:21PM
More from Richmond Fed Pres. Barkin.

Fed is cyberattacked all the time.

We can’t rest on security protocols in place.

Three levels of uncertainty with tariffs.

First is what level on what countries.

Next is what response will countries and companies have.

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How is all this going to land on the consumer.

Who bears the cost of the tariffs in the end?

Useful to look at 2018 and 2019 experience.

Most of the studies suggest those delivered 30–40 basis points of inflation in an era with little inflation.

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What happened then was consumers kept spending, businesses kept hiring, but big businesses cut investment.

There is a wide range of outcomes potentially.

Globalization has been disinflationary.

Does worry that de-globalization could be a headwind to US growth.

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This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

More from Fed’s Barkin: There is a wide range of outcomes from tariffs

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