Morgan Stanley sees India equity recovery as growth cycle turns
Morgan Stanley expects India’s stock market to rebound from its sharp underperformance since late 2024, saying a turning growth cycle and policy stimulus should drive a recovery. The bank described the market as entering a macro-driven phase, where broader economic trends matter more than stock selection, adding that it remains “capitalisation-agnostic.”
MS said the factors behind India’s lag — slower growth, stretched valuations, and the lack of AI-related plays — are now reversing. It expects a positive growth surprise in coming months, supported by RBI rate cuts, liquidity injections, fiscal capex front-loading, and GST reductions worth about ₹15 trillion, aimed largely at boosting consumption.
Morgan Stanley also cited a potential India–US trade deal, easing tensions with China, and policy reforms such as privatisation and bank deregulation as further tailwinds