Bullish above: 124,000 / Important: bitcoin futures price!
Bearish below: 127,000
Primary Bias: Range-bound / tactical fade setups
Partial Targets:
126,540 – 126,255 – 125,725 – 124,430 – 124,020
Bitcoin Market Context & Directional Bias
Bitcoin futures are currently trading around 125,395, roughly a quarter percent lower than yesterday’s close. The 50-week range high sits at 127,240, while today’s high is at 126,295. Price remains inside a broad consolidation zone, and the tradeCompass strategy favors fading extremes rather than chasing breakouts.
If price rises above 127,220 and then slips below 127,000, the bearish setup activates. And, remember – Ethereum futures still may achieve a new ATH, many traders are expecting that ‘price magnet’ to play out. Perhaps even $5k and beyond.
Educational Corner for Crypto Traders — Value Areas and VWAP
Understanding Value Areas and VWAP helps identify balance zones where most trading occurs. The Value Area High (VAH) often marks resistance, while the Value Area Low (VAL) acts as support. The VWAP and its standard deviations serve as dynamic reference levels for mean reversion or breakout strategies — useful for traders defining entries, stops, and partial exits with discipline.
Trade Management Reminders (tradeCompass)
Only one trade per direction should be active at a time.
After TP2, always move your stop to entry to secure gains and manage the runner.
Stops are placed slightly beyond the activation threshold with a small buffer, never beyond the opposite threshold.
Clarification on Using the tradeCompass
If price struggles to sustain above the bullish threshold, it can signal a short opportunity. Conversely, a confirmed break below the bearish line suggests continuation to deeper bearish stages. Use partial profit-taking on each side to manage exposure and maintain flexibility.
Professional Disclaimer for Bitcoin Trading
This analysis is for educational and decision-support purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures and digital assets carries risk
