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Weekly update on interest rate expectations

  • December 19, 2024
  • -FCHFX

December 19, 2024 at 10:37AM
Rate cuts by year-end

Fed 2025: 36 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

ECB 2025: 110 bps (93% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

BoE 2025: 47 bps (50% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

BoC 2025: 49 bps (50% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

RBA 2025: 67 bps (60% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

RBNZ 2025: 118 bps (88% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

SNB 2025: 48 bps (84% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

BoJ 2025: 43 bps (50% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

*where you see 25 bps rate cut, the rest of the probability is for a 50 bps cut

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

Weekly update on interest rate expectations
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