Iran is claiming a figure of 15 vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, with those ships said to have obtained permission from Tehran to cross the waterway. Of the 15 vessels, the Iran navy is saying that it includes 4 oil tankers.
Now, the issue here is that these may all still be “shadow fleets”. So, it is tough to ascertain which oil tankers these are and where their destinations will be. The same can be said for all the other vessels. As mentioned before, Iran may claim one thing but the reality i.e. actual shipping data tends to differ from that. From before:
In any case, an average of 15-30 vessels in total per day is still an absolutely shambolic number when compared to the pre-war days. As a general rule of thumb, don’t expect this to apply to the majority of commercial vessels.
Even if the US and Iran are able to agree to a managed reopening of the strait, whether or not maritime insurance can be taken up again is still the number one obstacle
