Goldman Sachs has lowered its estimate of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months to 30%, down from 35%, citing easing trade tensions following a fresh US-China negotiaitons:
- a framework on tariff rates
- the lifting of Chinese export restrictions on rare earths
- renewed access for Chinese students to U.S. universities
The bank noted that financial conditions have largely returned to pre-tariff levels, and trade policy uncertainty has eased slightly
ICYMI: Goldman Sachs lowered its estimate of a US recession in the next 12 months to 30%