Gold is testing the top of the daily range. It’s up $15 to $3649 today and perked up following the softer UMich consumer sentiment data.
The precious metal is consolidating now after reaching $3675 on Tuesday in a spike higher. It’s likely to continue sideways until Wednesday’s FOMC decision. A dovish bent from the Fed chair would be a green light for the gold bulls to take it another leg higher. I don’t think we’d need to see a surprise 50 bps cut but if Powell validates employment concerns and downplays inflation then it could continue the surge.
Techncially, Tuesday’s high and overbought conditions are the only thing standing in the way of further gains and beyond that it will be big round figures like $3750 and $4000 offering up resistance.
On the geopolitical side, the US appears to be trying to ramp up pressure on Russia to enter talks on Ukraine peace. That presents two-sided risks as harsher Russian sanctions or reserve confiscation could strengthen the case for gold, while a peace deal would weaken it
