There are a few expiries to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.
The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1700 to 1.1715 levels. The expiry levels don’t tie too much to any technical significance but could act as a bit of an additional floor close by to some key technical levels.
The key hourly moving averages are seen at 1.1716-23 currently, with buyers holding near-term control of the pair. The topside continues to see offers and resistance closer to 1.1800. So for any potential downside move, the expiries could help to limit the price extensions in the session ahead. That especially if the underlying risk mood remains more positive, helping to pin down the dollar.
Then, there is one for USD/JPY at the 156.00 level. That said, I wouldn’t expect the expiries here to factor into play whatsoever. The currency pair remains heavily dictated by the market mood and also intervention by Japan’s ministry of finance. And that is despite the dollar even weakening after markets turned more optimistic on US-Iran developments. Trouble, trouble for the Japanese yen.
And lastly, there is a large chunk of expiries for AUD/USD at the 0.7250 level. They don’t tie to any technical significance but could be an anchor for price action in keeping movement more sticky in European trading. But as things stand, dollar and risk sentiment remain bigger drivers of price action so those will have a bigger influence than the expiries as we look to the session ahead.
For now, the overall mood is calmer with the dollar little changed and risk trades settling after the strong gains overnight
