Ethereum Futures Technical Analysis with tradeCompass – August 6, 2025
At the time of this analysis, Ethereum futures (ETH) are trading at $3,588, exactly flat from yesterday’s close.
According to today’s tradeCompass, we enter bearish territory below $3,615, while a bullish breakout requires a sustained move above $3,655. Given that price is already under the bearish threshold, the current directional bias is bearish.
tradeCompass Summary for Ethereum Traders
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Bullish above: $3,655
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Bearish below: $3,615
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Current price: $3,588
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Primary Bias: Bearish
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Partial Profit Targets: See below
Today’s ETH Market Context and Directional Bias
Ethereum futures are sitting comfortably in bearish territory, having opened and remained below the $3,615 bearish threshold. This keeps the short-term outlook bearish unless bulls reclaim that level with authority.
For those leaning bearish, early short entries can be scaled in at current prices, with an option to add size near a retest of $3,615. Just be aware that brief retracements into this zone may occur before continuation.
On the flip side, the bullish pathway is narrow. Even if price crosses above $3,655, it immediately faces heavy resistance from overlapping high-volume nodes and recent value area levels, capping bullish targets.
ETH Bears and Bearish Partial-Profit Strategy for Ether Futures Today (…and possibly beyond, later this week)
Traders short from below $3,615 may consider these logical profit-taking levels:
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$3,552
Just above the $3,550 psychological level and near the 2nd lower deviation of yesterday’s VWAP. -
$3,540
Close to the above level, this reinforces the bearish magnet and also marks the point where stop-losses on remaining positions can be moved to breakeven. -
$3,510
Aligned with the August 1st value area low – a prior zone of acceptance and likely support. -
$3,427
More distant target near the July 17th VAL, offering room for runners if the selloff accelerates.
ETH Bulls and Bullish Partial-Profit Strategy
Long trades should only be considered if ETH reclaims $3,655 with confirmation. If so, the following levels act as prudent exits:
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$3,669
In line with the August 5th value area high, representing the first potential hesitation point for bulls. -
$3,688.5
Just under the August 4th point of control – a magnet for volume-based algorithms. -
$3,728
Corresponds to the July 25th value area high, providing a more meaningful upside extension. -
$3,779
Below the $3,800 round number and layered with prior liquidity pools, this is a strategic level to exit most remaining long exposure.
Educational Insight – Value Area High, Low, and Point of Control (Volume Profile)
The value area represents the range where approximately 70% of trading occurred during a session. The Value Area High (VAH) marks the top of that range, while the Value Area Low (VAL) defines the bottom. The Point of Control (POC) is the single price level where the most volume transacted, often acting as a magnet for price and a decision point for institutional algorithms.
Traders watch these levels for intraday reactions, reversals, and breakout validation. For example, when price nears a previous day’s VAL, it may find support, while a break below it can confirm a bearish continuation.
Trade Management Reminders
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Only one trade per direction is taken per tradeCompass session.
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After hitting the second partial profit, move your stop to breakeven to protect gains.
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Use flexible confirmation (e.g., a 30-minute close) before entering trades near thresholds.
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Never place a stop beyond the opposite directional threshold—it would invalidate the setup.
Final Word: Use tradeCompass as a Map, Not a Script
Traders should interpret the tradeCompass as a dynamic orientation tool, not a rigid rulebook. If price is near—but not sustaining above—a bullish threshold, short trades may still be valid. Conversely, a breakdown below bearish levels opens room for continuation plays.
Above all, partial profits are your defense mechanism in volatile markets—ensure you use them wisely.
This Ethereum futures analysis is intended as a decision-support guide, not financial advice. Futures trading carries inherent risk, and past patterns do not guarantee future performance
