Credit Agricole: Scope for USD/JPY rally on Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole

August 20, 2024 at 05:34PM
Credit Agricole sees potential for a rally in USD/JPY this week, driven by market reactions to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at Jackson Hole, as investors position around US-Japan rate differentials.

Key Points:

Current Market Positioning:

Investors are currently betting on a further narrowing of the US-Japan rates differential, anticipating a dovish message from Powell and a hawkish stance from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda.

Key Driver:

The main driver of USD/JPY is expected to remain the UST yield side of the US-Japan rates spread, with Credit Agricole suggesting that the market may be overly aggressive in pricing in Fed rate cuts.

Potential Rally:

Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole could prompt a correction in this aggressive pricing, potentially leading to a USD/JPY rally. The 150 level remains a significant hurdle for the exchange rate.

Conclusion:

Credit Agricole expects that the USD/JPY could rally following Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, as the market may reassess its aggressive pricing of Fed rate cuts, with 150 being a critical resistance level.

For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. For a limited time, get a 7 day free trial, basic for $79 per month and premium at $109 per month. Get it here.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

For News Subscribe Us!

If you wish to receive the weekly market report, please subscribe. For a daily report please go to contact form to speak to the sales team.

You have been successfully Subscribed! Ops! Something went wrong, please try again.
PikPng.com_apple-icon-png_BBB

register your interest now

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © 2024 HUBFX
Business Office at 7 Bell Yard, London, WC2A 2JR, United Kingdom

HUBFX Asia  Business Office at
100 Peck Seah St, 079333, Singapore

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © 2024 HUBFX
Business Office at 7 Bell Yard, London, WC2A 2JR, United Kingdom

HUBFX Asia  Business Office at
100 Peck Seah St, 079333, Singapore

For clients based in the European Economic Area, payment services for HUBFX are provided by CurrencyCloud B.V.. Registered in the Netherlands No. 72186178. Registered Office: Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 296 – 298, Mindspace Nieuwezijds Office 001 Amsterdam. CurrencyCloud B.V. is authorised by the DNB under the Wet op het financieel toezicht to carry out the business of an electronic-money institution (Relation Number: R142701).  For clients based in the United States, payment services for HUBFX are provided by The Currency Cloud Inc. which operates in partnership with Community Federal Savings Bank (CFSB) to facilitate payments in all 50 states in the US. CFSB is registered with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC Certificate# 57129). The Currency Cloud Inc is registered with FinCEN and authorised in 39 states to transmit money (MSB Registration Number: 31000206794359). Registered Office: 104 5th Avenue, 20th Floor, New York , NY 10011. For clients based in the United Kingdom and rest of the world, payment services for HUBFX are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199). Please refer to the Terms of Use here.

Payment services for HUBFX UK and US are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199) and The Currency Cloud Inc. which operates in partnership with Community Federal Savings Bank (CFSB) to facilitate payments in all 50 states in the US. CFSB is registered with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC Certificate# 57129). The Currency Cloud Inc is registered with FinCEN and authorized in 39 states to transmit money (MSB Registration Number: 31000160311064). Registered Office: 104 5th Avenue, 20th Floor, New York , NY 10011 

 

Payment services for HUBFX are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199) and The Currency Cloud Inc. which operates in partnership with Community Federal Savings Bank (CFSB) to facilitate payments in all 50 states in the US. CFSB is registered with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC Certificate# 57129). The Currency Cloud Inc is registered with FinCEN and authorized in 39 states to transmit money (MSB Registration Number: 31000160311064). Registered Office: 104 5th Avenue, 20th Floor, New York , NY 10011 and CurrencyCloud B.V.. Registered in the Netherlands No. 72186178. Registered Office: Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 296 – 298, Mindspace Nieuwezijds Office 001 Amsterdam. CurrencyCloud B.V. is authorised by the DNB under the Wet op het financieel toezicht to carry out the business of a electronic-money institution (Relation Number: R142701)

Rates are indicative only. Please log in for getting your rates.