- I expect slack to increase
- It’s encouraging that services inflation is coming down
- Evidence on wage growth is also encouraging
- BoE projection is benign
- Inflation has stabilised
- My concern is around second-round effects
- Business inflation expectations are elevated and rising
- Preliminary results from BoE agents’ survey point to pay settlements of around 3.5%, maybe due to upward shift in wage-setting
These are some dovish comments from Greene who has been one of the most hawkish BoE members for quite some time. Her concern remains the second-round effects around inflation but it feels like she toned down a bit her hawkishness
BoE’s Greene: Slack opened up in the labour market and the economy