Bank of Korea (BOK) warns weak won risks inflation as USD/KRW diverges from fundamentals

Summary:

  • Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang-yong said the central bank will review its forward guidance framework on the future path of interest rates.

  • Rhee warned that excessive won weakness could harm domestic businesses and add to inflation pressures.

  • He said USD/KRW levels above 1,400 appear disconnected from Korea’s economic fundamentals.

  • The BOK will not support U.S.-bound investment decisions that could undermine foreign-exchange stability.

  • Authorities are considering expanding special lending programmes for small businesses.

  • Rhee also called for a comprehensive review of pension funds’ overseas investments, citing FX implications.

The Bank of Korea has signalled growing unease over foreign-exchange volatility, with Governor Rhee Chang-yong warning that the current level of won weakness appears increasingly misaligned with South Korea’s economic fundamentals and risks feeding domestic inflation pressures.

Rhee said the central bank will review its forward guidance approach on the future path of interest rates, an indication that policymakers are reassessing how monetary policy signals are being interpreted by markets. While he stopped short of committing to a policy shift, the comments suggest heightened sensitivity to financial conditions, particularly currency moves.

Rhee highlighted concerns that a persistently weak won could do more harm than good for the domestic economy. He warned that depreciation may weigh on Korean businesses by raising import costs and squeezing margins, while also amplifying inflationary pressures at a time when price stability remains a key policy focus. The governor added that the USD/KRW exchange rate trading above the 1,400 level seems far from the Korean economy’s fundamentals, reinforcing the message that current FX levels may not be justified by underlying conditions.

The BOK chief also drew a clear line on cross-border investment decisions, stating that authorities would not agree to U.S.-bound investments if they threaten foreign-exchange stability. The remarks underscore official concern that large-scale capital outflows — particularly by institutional investors, could exacerbate currency volatility.

HUBFX

In that context, Rhee said policymakers see a need for a comprehensive review of pension funds’ overseas investment strategies

Bank of Korea (BOK) warns weak won risks inflation as USD/KRW diverges from fundamentals

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