August 14, 2024 at 09:29PM
Nomura on the Bank of Japan:
see the December monetary policy meeting as the most likely date for the next interest rate increase
BOJ will hike then even if inflation “trends sideways without rising”, Nomura cite the Bank’s July “Summary of opinions”, saying it signalled a shift among policymakers; that the Board still view monetary conditions as accommodative
Nomura cite BOJ eagerness to move further away from its prior super-easy monetary policy
On the comments last week from BoJ Deputy governor Uchida (you’ll recall Uchida said rate hikes were not on a
pre-determined path and would depend on economic and inflation data)
his comments don’t rule out the possibility
that the BOJ could raise interest rates if stability returns to
financial markets
On the yen, Nomura say:
USD/JPY is likely to find a ceiling around 150
the carry trade is no longer attractive due to the increase in volatility
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
