July 02, 2024 at 10:23PM
DB on key risks ahead for the second half of 2024, with a more general warning mixed in that “surprises can be just around the corner”
Economic data has been surprising on the downside over recent weeks
Investors are becoming more nervous about fiscal policy given higher levels of debt and interest rates
Inflation lingering above target
Monetary policy lags that are still working through
On that final point, DB add:
central banks such as the Fed are still running down their balance sheets
fixed-rate borrowers are refinancing at higher rates
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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