Weekly update on interest rate expectations

March 03, 2025 at 10:46AM
Rate cuts by year-end

Fed: 63 bps (95% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

ECB: 81 bps (96% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

BoE: 52 bps (95% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

BoC: 60 bps (57% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

RBA: 52 bps (82% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

RBNZ: 72 bps (96% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

SNB: 35 bps (92% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

BoJ: 34 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

Weekly update on interest rate expectations