Bitcoin trade idea as bears regain control (join the short)

The bullish threshold was activated, two profit targets were reached, and as per our methodology, the stop was moved to the entry after the first or second target. When Ethereum reversed later, the second half of the position was stopped at breakeven — the first half secured profit, the second was neutral, resulting in a winning trade overall.

This highlights how tradeCompass operates. It’s primarily designed for short-term traders but is also suitable for swing and even long-term traders in cases where major reversal zones are identified. This structured approach allows the strategy to secure wins even if the move turns out to be a retracement rather than a full trend continuation. Another key principle: one trade per compass. Once a bullish or bearish side is triggered, that’s the only direction traded for that setup.

Ethereum Follow-Up

Ethereum futures continue to lean bearish. If price sustains below $3,800, there’s room for further downside toward $3,555, signaling a potential continuation of the broader crypto cooling phase.

Bitcoin Futures Short Setup

Following that temporary crypto rebound, Bitcoin remains within a bearish structure. The goal of this setup is to align with the potential continuation of that broader decline if the price retraces into our predefined sell zone. These are not random levels — they’re derived from our analysis of VWAP deviations, value area dynamics, and liquidity pools.

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Setup details:

  • 1st Sell: 107,645

  • 2nd Sell: 108,275

  • 3rd Sell: 108,800

  • Average Entry: 108,240

  • Stop: 110,225 (+1.83%)

  • TP1: 105,885 → take one-third off (+2.18%)

  • TP2: 103,380 → take another third (+4.49%)

  • TP3: 93,590 → leave the final third open (+13.54%), targeting a potential breakdown below $100,000

  • Blended Reward: ~3.7R

All entries and exits are equal in size. Once TP1 is reached, move the stop to entry to protect the rest of the position. The last third aims to capture an extended bearish leg if a liquidity flush occurs under the 100K zone.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis on the Daily Chart: Bears are in Control after Anchored VWAP was not Protected

On the daily chart above, Bitcoin is currently trading around $106,430 and testing a critical technical structure:

  • The purple line marks the anchored VWAP from the April low — an important pivot point that previously attracted strong buyers.

  • At Point 1, after touching this anchored VWAP, price reacted strongly to the upside.

  • At Point 2, however, buyers failed to defend that same VWAP, suggesting weakening demand.

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The yellow channel illustrates the broader trading range that has contained Bitcoin since May. With the VWAP defense broken, the next logical destination could be the lower boundary of this channel, aligning with roughly the $100,000 area. This level is also a psychological round number, where many stop orders and pending liquidity are concentrated.

If price approaches this level, we could see one of two outcomes:

  1. A liquidity run — market makers triggering stops and reversing upward, or

  2. A bear flag breakdown, confirming deeper downside momentum below 100K.

Either way, it’s a zone where large players are likely to engage, making it a crucial area to monitor over the coming sessions

Educational Corner – Understanding the Tools Behind tradeCompass

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VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP reflects the average traded price weighted by volume. It’s widely used as a real-time fair value benchmark. When price trades above VWAP, it indicates relative strength; when below, relative weakness. Standard deviation bands around VWAP highlight how far price has stretched, helping traders spot potential exhaustion zones for reversals or breakouts.

Value Area (VAH & VAL)
The Value Area High (VAH) and Low (VAL) define where approximately 70% of the total traded volume occurred during a session. These levels reveal where most traders agreed on price value. Breaks outside these areas often precede either strong directional trends or false breakouts that quickly reverse once large orders are absorbed.

Liquidity Pools
Liquidity pools are clusters of stop orders or pending orders around psychologically or technically significant prices — like previous highs/lows, VWAP deviations, or round numbers such as 100,000 in Bitcoin. Market makers often drive price toward these pools to trigger liquidity events before reversing. Identifying these zones allows traders to anticipate where large participants — the “strong hands” — are most likely to act.

Together, VWAP, the value area, and liquidity mapping form the analytical backbone of tradeCompass. These tools help detect where high-probability opportunities exist and where the market might pivot due to the behavior of major participants.

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Final Note

This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice

Bitcoin trade idea as bears regain control (join the short)

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Payment services for HUBFX are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199) and The Currency Cloud Inc. which operates in partnership with Community Federal Savings Bank (CFSB) to facilitate payments in all 50 states in the US. CFSB is registered with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC Certificate# 57129). The Currency Cloud Inc is registered with FinCEN and authorized in 39 states to transmit money (MSB Registration Number: 31000160311064). Registered Office: 104 5th Avenue, 20th Floor, New York , NY 10011 and CurrencyCloud B.V.. Registered in the Netherlands No. 72186178. Registered Office: Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 296 – 298, Mindspace Nieuwezijds Office 001 Amsterdam. CurrencyCloud B.V. is authorised by the DNB under the Wet op het financieel toezicht to carry out the business of a electronic-money institution (Relation Number: R142701)

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